Modeling of the Choice of Solutions to Management Tasks when Extinguishing a Fire in Underground Structures
( Pp. 72-82)
More about authors
Anikin Sergei N.
postgraduate at the Department of Fire Tactics and Service (as part of the educational and scientific fire-fighting complex), @mail.ru
State Fire Academy of Emercom of Russia
Moscow, Russian Federation Danilov Mikhail M. Candidate of Engineering, Associate Professor; associate professor at the Department of Fire Tactics and Service (as part of the educational and scientific fire-fighting complex); State Fire Academy of EMERCOM of Russia; Moscow, Russian Federation@yandex.ru Denisov Alexey N. Doctor of Engineering, Professor; Professor at the Department of Fire Tactics and Service (as part of the educational and scientific fire-fighting complex); State Fire Academy of EMERCOM of Russia; Moscow, Russian Federation@mail.ru Korolev Pavel S. postgraduate at the Department of Fire Tactics and Service (as part of the educational and scientific fire-fighting complex); State Fire Academy of EMERCOM of Russia; Moscow, Russian Federation@mail.ru
State Fire Academy of Emercom of Russia
Moscow, Russian Federation Danilov Mikhail M. Candidate of Engineering, Associate Professor; associate professor at the Department of Fire Tactics and Service (as part of the educational and scientific fire-fighting complex); State Fire Academy of EMERCOM of Russia; Moscow, Russian Federation@yandex.ru Denisov Alexey N. Doctor of Engineering, Professor; Professor at the Department of Fire Tactics and Service (as part of the educational and scientific fire-fighting complex); State Fire Academy of EMERCOM of Russia; Moscow, Russian Federation@mail.ru Korolev Pavel S. postgraduate at the Department of Fire Tactics and Service (as part of the educational and scientific fire-fighting complex); State Fire Academy of EMERCOM of Russia; Moscow, Russian Federation@mail.ru
Abstract:
The article deals with the problem of the theoretical foundations of management in organizational systems. The modeling of the choice of managerial alternatives for extinguishing a fire in underground structures is presented based on the comparison of real and forecast values by the fire extinguishing manager (ranking the conditions for choosing managerial alternatives), while ranking the conditions for choosing managerial alternatives is carried out using a graphoanalytic approach. The solution of the tasks set during the planning of actions is shown by modeling GERT networks. An urgent issue is and remains the possibility of choosing a decisive direction, taking into account the comparison of real and forecast results of fire extinguishing actions, in the case when the criteria of the current situation may be a variety of possible acceptable options. Results. An approach to the selection of management alternatives for fire extinguishing in underground structures has been developed based on the comparison of real and forecast values by the fire extinguishing manager based on the results of the application of the network planning method and the method of graphical evaluation and analysis of systems, a comprehensive analysis of the solution of the problem based on the identification of boundary conditions of fire extinguishing has been developed, a model for solving management problems during combat operations to extinguish a fire has been developed. The application of the developed model is relevant not only for the analysis of potential scenarios for planning and implementing combat operations to extinguish a fire in underground structures, but also for modeling the process of managing an organizational fire extinguishing system in boundary conditions of fire extinguishing in underground structures of high extent and area. This work is intended for those who make managerial decisions and manage forces and means when extinguishing fires.
How to Cite:
Anikin S.N., Danilov M.M., Denisov N.A., Korolev P.S. Modeling of the Choice of Solutions to Management Tasks when Extinguishing a Fire in Underground Structures. Computational Nanotechnology. 2023. Vol. 10. No. 3. Pp. 72–82. (In Rus.) DOI: 10.33693/2313-223X-2023-10-3-72-82. EDN: RNTIBJ
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Tarantsev A.A., Potashev D.A., Ulyanovskaya T.S. Network models for managing forces and means when extinguishing vehicles and carrying out emergency rescue operations. Siberian Fire and Rescue Bulletin. 2023. No. 1 (28). Pp. 145–152. (In Rus.) DOI: 10.34987/vestnik.sibpsa.2023.62.90.012. EDN: EPPUGH.
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Neumann K. Stochastic project networks: Temporal analysis, scheduling and cost minimization. Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 1990. 238 c.
Pritsker A.A.B. GERT: Graphical evaluation and review technique. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1966.
Shibanov A.P. Generalized GERT networks for modeling protocols, algorithms and programs of telecommunication systems: Abstract of dis. ... of Cand. Sci. (Eng.): 05.13.13. Ryazan, 2003. 265 p.
Zyryanov A.A. Forecasting the behaviour of business processes based on GERT networks. Prospects for the Development of Information Technologies. 2012. No. 8. (In Rus.) URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/prognoz-povedeniya-biznes-protsessov-na-osnove-gert-setey (data of accesses: 12.05.2023).
Dorrer M.G., Zyryanov A.A. Estimation of the numerical characteristics of the GERT network based on equivalent transformations. Educational Resources and Technologies. 2014. No. 1 (4).
Novikov D.A. Theory of management of organizational systems. Moscow: MPSI, 2005. 584 p.
Korolev P.S. Identification of boundary conditions in the actions of fire and rescue units to extinguish fires in underground structures. Modern Science: Actual Problems of Theory and Practice. Series: Natural and Technical Sciences. 2022. No. 10/2 Pp. 55–62. (In Rus.) DOI: 10.37882/2223-2966.2022.10-2.15.
Order of EMERCOM of Russia dated October 16, 2017 No. 444 “On approval of the combat regulations of fire departments, defining the procedure for organizing fire extinguishing and carrying out emergency rescue operations.”
Denisov A., Danilov M., Tsokurova I., Anikin S. Neuronetwork support for subdivision management of fire extinguishing of rolling stock during unloading at metallurgical enterprises. In: International Scientific Siberian Transport Forum TransSiberia - 2021. Lecture notes in networks and systems. Vol. 402. A. Manakov, A. Edigarian (eds.). Cham: Springer. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-96380-4_176.
Aladina E.A., Anikin S.N., Danilov M.M., Denisov A.N. Analysis of the fulfillment of the main task by the personnel of the EMERCOM of Russia in activities related to the state of protection of the individual, property, society and the state from fires. Current Problems of Integrated Safety in Construction, Development Trends in Modern Conditions: Collection of Reports of the All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference. 2021. No. 1. Pp. 10–15.
Shur P.Z., Shlyapnikov D.M., Alekseev V.B., Khasanova A.A. On the question of the possibility of joint application of methods for assessing professional risk. Bulletin of KazNMU. 2014. No. 3-1. (In Rus.) URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/k-voprosu-o-vozmozhnosti-sovmestnogo-primeneniya-metodik-otsenki-professionalnogo-riska (data of accesses: 30.05.2023).
Danilov M.M., Denisov A.N., Latysheva L.A. Complex conditions of extreme necessity when performing the main combat mission by fire and rescue units. Ius Publicum et Privatum. 2022. No. 3 (18). Pp. 59–67. (In Rus.) DOI: 10.46741/2713-2811.2022.18.3.006. EDN AYPAOC.
Kapysh A.S. Intelligent decision support system based on reasoning based on precedents: Abstract of dis. ... of Cand. Sci. (Eng.). Volgograd, 2011. 238 p.
Moiseev N.N. Preface to the book by Orlovsky S.A. Problems of decision making with fuzzy initial information. Moscow: Nauka, 1981. 208 p.
Alekseev V.E., Zakharova D.V. Graphs theory: Textbook. Nizhny Novgorod: Nizhny Novgorod State University, 2017. 119 p.
Burkatovskaya Yu.B. Graph theory: Textbook. Part 1. Tomsk: Tomsk Polytechnic University Publishing House, 2014. 200 p.
Kalugin N.A., Kalugin A.N. Elements of graphs theory: textbook. allowance. Samara: Publishing House of the Samara State Aerospace University, 2013. 48 p.
Burkov V.N. Fundamentals of the mathematical theory of active systems. Moscow: Nauka, 1977. 255 p.
Burkov V.N., Kondratyev V.V. Mechanisms of functioning of organizational systems. Moscow: Nauka, 1981. 384 p.
Burkov V.N., Novikov D.A. The theory of active systems: State and prospects. Moscow: SYNTEG, 1999. 128 p.
Novikov D.A., Petrakov S.N. Course on the theory of active systems. Moscow: SYNTEG, 1999. 108 p.
Danilov M.M., Danilova M.A., Eremin M.P. et al. On the issue of choosing decisions when extinguishing a fire based on the stages of development of a decision support system. Technospheric Safety. 2018. No. 4 (21). Pp. 113–121. EDN: YXLVOX.
Tarantsev A.A., Potashev D.A., Ulyanovskaya T.S. Network models for managing forces and means when extinguishing vehicles and carrying out emergency rescue operations. Siberian Fire and Rescue Bulletin. 2023. No. 1 (28). Pp. 145–152. (In Rus.) DOI: 10.34987/vestnik.sibpsa.2023.62.90.012. EDN: EPPUGH.
Phillips D., Garcia-Diaz A. Methods for network analysis. Moscow: Mir, 1984. 496 p.
Neumann K. Stochastic project networks: Temporal analysis, scheduling and cost minimization. Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 1990. 238 c.
Pritsker A.A.B. GERT: Graphical evaluation and review technique. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1966.
Shibanov A.P. Generalized GERT networks for modeling protocols, algorithms and programs of telecommunication systems: Abstract of dis. ... of Cand. Sci. (Eng.): 05.13.13. Ryazan, 2003. 265 p.
Zyryanov A.A. Forecasting the behaviour of business processes based on GERT networks. Prospects for the Development of Information Technologies. 2012. No. 8. (In Rus.) URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/prognoz-povedeniya-biznes-protsessov-na-osnove-gert-setey (data of accesses: 12.05.2023).
Dorrer M.G., Zyryanov A.A. Estimation of the numerical characteristics of the GERT network based on equivalent transformations. Educational Resources and Technologies. 2014. No. 1 (4).
Keywords:
choice, management, problem solving management, alternative, fighting, fire extinguishing, staff composition.
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