Modification of Adaptive Approaches in the Modeling of Electricity Production in the Russian Federation
( Pp. 228-234)

More about authors
Kontsevaya Natalya V. Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Mathematics
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Moscow, Russian Federation
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Abstract:
The paper presents an overview of methods for modeling nonlinear dynamics and provides recommendations for choosing a suitable model by analyzing the dynamics of growth rates of electricity production in Russia. A modified autoregression model is proposed as the best approximation, on the basis of which it is possible to estimate a short-term forecast. The economic analysis and justification of the division of the initial sample were carried out, the quality and accuracy of the constructed model were evaluated, conclusions were drawn.
How to Cite:
Kontsevaya N.V., (2022), MODIFICATION OF ADAPTIVE APPROACHES IN THE MODELING OF ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION. Economic Problems and Legal Practice, 2: 228-234.
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Keywords:
autoregression model, dynamics model, growth rates, electricity production, time series, adaptive methods.