Methodological approaches to the construction of the criminal law and criminological models of organized crime
( Pp. 101-109)
More about authors
Vasin Yury G.
Cand. Sci. (Law); associate professor, Department of General Jurisprudence
Russian State Social University
Moscow, Russian Federation
Russian State Social University
Moscow, Russian Federation
Abstract:
Article is devoted to constructing a model of organized crime. Construction of a quantitative model in the fight against crime, must always be preceded by theoretical modeling. First, the hypothesis, then it formed the basis of a theoretical model considered negative socio-legal phenomenon, and then you can proceed to the construction of a quantitative model. Once the model is formed, its reliability is recognized as suitable, you can proceed to its study. Questions of construction of models of crime are the focus and foreign criminologists. So, these issues have been studied by Steven Gottlieb, Sheldon Arenberg, Raj Singh, John Hagan, Gennaro F. Vito, Edward J. Latessa, Deborah G. Wilson, Ronald J. Hy, Douglas G. Feig, Robert M. Regoli, Edwin S. Johnson, Hans Levenbach, James P. Cleary, David F. Greenberg, Larry S. Miller, John T. Whitehead, James Alan Fox et al. With implementation of the proposed techniques are used qualitative methods, traditionally a legal, analysis, methods of expert assessments and mathematical apparatus of the theory of probability and mathematical statistics. This approach makes it possible to provide the necessary balance of quantitative and qualitative characteristics and properties of the object. Instead commonly used in the practice of modeling parameters is proposed to form predictive models of objects in two probability values. This approach will greatly expand the number of possible predictive models themselves. The proposed appointment is consistent with the notion of a plurality of component models predictive function used for planning purposes in the fight against organized crime. In this case, the formation of the criminal law and criminological model using quantitative parameters it is advisable to take into account the need to determine the reliability of the model. The proposed approach can be used created criminal and criminological models of crime in formulating programs for combating crime and practical refractions provisions of criminal policy. Society should see that law enforcement agencies have a future-oriented, clear and practically implemented a program of action in the fight against organized crime. Society must see that law enforcement bodies has prospectively oriented, clear and practically implemented a program of action in the fight against organized crime. Work focused on a fairly wide range of readers. It seems that it can cause not only of interest from experts in criminal policy and criminology, lawmakers and law enforcers, but also students and graduate law schools interested in this problem.
How to Cite:
Vasin Y.G., (2014), METHODOLOGICAL APPROACHES TO THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE CRIMINAL LAW AND CRIMINOLOGICAL MODELS OF ORGANIZED CRIME. Gaps in Russian Legislation, 6 => 101-109.
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Vasin YU.G. Ugolovno-pravovaya politika i bor ba s organizovannoy prestupnost yu: istoriya i perspektivy // CHernye dyry v Rossiyskom Zakonodatel stve. 2014. №3. S. 133-141.;
Vitsin S.E. Sistemnyy podkhod i prestupnost . M.: Akademiya MVD SSSR, 1980. 140 s.;
Gavrilov O.A. Matematicheskie metody i modeli v sotsial no-pravovom issledovanii. M.: Nauka, 1980. 184 s.;
Glinskiy B.A., Dynin B.S., Gryaznov B.S., Nikitin E.P. Modelirovanie kak metod nauchnykh issledovaniy. M., 1965. 248 s.;
Gmurman V.E. Teoriya veroyatnostey i matematicheskaya statistika. M.: Vysshaya shkola, 1988. 480 s.;
Kudryavtsev V.N. Genezis prestupleniya. Opyt kriminologicheskogo modelirovaniya. M.: INFRA-M, 1998. 216 s.;
Kudryavtsev V.N. Prichinnost v kriminologii. M., 1968. 176 s.;
Luneev V.V. YUridicheskaya statistika. M.: YUrist, 1999. 400 s.;
Min kovskiy G.M. O razvitii kontseptsii ugolovnoy politiki // Metodologicheskie problemy ugolovno-pravovogo regulirovaniya / Pod red. V.B. Kvashis. M.: VNII MVD SSSR, 1991. S.14-18.
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YUzikhanova E.G. Modelirovanie kriminogennykh protsessov v sub ektakh Rossiyskoy Federatsii. Tyumen , 2005. 344 s.
Keywords:
criminal policy, organized crime, modeling, the programme of the fight against crime, crime statistics, forecasting.