ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: PARAMETERS AND RELIABILITY
( Pp. 47-54)
More about authors
Evgeny V. Anishchenko
Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Economic and Financial Investigations, Higher School of Public Audit
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Moscow, Russian Federation
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Moscow, Russian Federation
Abstract:
As one of key problems in economy, along with problems of ensuring efficiency of activities of accounting entities, also the complex of tasks of forming of economic forecasts for various prospect acts. It is caused by the fact that in case of macroeconomic planning the reference point of development of national economy represents not a certain final value, the so-called "point", a trajectory of movement of this point in time in multidimensional space of various parameters of an economic condition of system directed in the future. Thus, a paramount task of process of economic forecasting is determination of the specified trajectory. Availability of such reference point also determines tactical, operational and strategic tasks of development planning of an accounting entity and national economy on various prospect, and reliability of determination of this reference point and its change in time becomes a key factor of quality and efficiency of planning. In article theoretical and methodical questions of reasons for parameters and assessment of reliability of the specified forecasts are considered
How to Cite:
Evgeny V.A., (2017), ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: PARAMETERS AND RELIABILITY. Economic Problems and Legal Practice, 1 => 47-54.
Reference list:
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Larionov I.K., (2015), global nyy ekonomicheskiy krizis: prichiny i posledstviya. Biznes v zakone. Ekonomiko-yuridicheskiy zhurnal, 4: 146-148.
Matasov A.I. Vvedenie v teoriyu garantiruyushchego otsenivaniya. - M.: MAI, 1999.
Rozanov YU.A. Statsionarnye sluchaynye protsessy. - M.: GIFML, 1963.
Tikhonov V.I. Vybrosy sluchaynykh protsessov. - M.: Nauka, 1970.
Anishchenko V.N. Metod rascheta intervala korrelyatsii navigatsionnykh poley dlya korrelyatsionno-ekstremal nykh sistem navigatsii letatel nykh apparatov / Elektronnyy nauchnyy zhurnal Ekonomika i vooruzhenie , 2014, № 3(28).
Anishchenko A.V. Rossiya v sisteme global nykh riskov: dollarizatsiya kak ugroza ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti strany // Vestnik Akademii ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti MVD Rossii. 2011, № 6. - s. 103-106.
Bokov V.V., (2015), Nauchno-metodologicheskie i institutsional nye aspekty obespecheniya ustoychivogo razvitiya otraslevykh kompleksov. Biznes v zakone. Ekonomiko-yuridicheskiy zhurnal, 6: 199-202.
Gerasin A.N., Sal nikova T.S., (2015), Puti razvitiya ekonomiki Rossii. Biznes v zakone. Ekonomiko-yuridicheskiy zhurnal, 4: 131-132.
Kolmanovskiy V.B. Nosov V.R. Ustoychivost upravlyaemykh sistem- M.: MIEM, 1987.
Larionov I.K., (2015), global nyy ekonomicheskiy krizis: prichiny i posledstviya. Biznes v zakone. Ekonomiko-yuridicheskiy zhurnal, 4: 146-148.
Matasov A.I. Vvedenie v teoriyu garantiruyushchego otsenivaniya. - M.: MAI, 1999.
Rozanov YU.A. Statsionarnye sluchaynye protsessy. - M.: GIFML, 1963.
Tikhonov V.I. Vybrosy sluchaynykh protsessov. - M.: Nauka, 1970.
Keywords:
economy, economic processes, forecasting, reliability, statistical evaluation.
