METHOD OF SCENARIO FORECASTING OF EXPENSES ON RENDERING TRANSPORT SERVICES
( Pp. 65-70)

More about authors
Liudmila V. Kashirskaya
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Moscow, Russian Federation Zykina Aliza M. student
FGBOOU VO «Astrakhan state architecturally-construction university» Karabasheva Malvina R. associate professor of the Audit and Corporate Reporting Department
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Moscow, Russian Federation
Abstract:
Task. In article use of a method of scenario forecasting in relation to an assessment of the expenses which are formed in the transport organizations is considered. When forming expected accounting there is a number of serious problems in methodology of their development and information support. The problem consists and that the qualitative analysis and the forecast of expenses are impossible without preparation of the reporting on execution of plans which is information source for formation of forecasts and carrying out the analysis of their execution. Specific methods, receptions and approaches of forecasting of expenses in educational and scientific literature are lit very little and the insignificant number of works of a number of foreign authors, among them is devoted to them: Kamppinen M., Kan G., Schwartz P., who have general-theoretical character. Nevertheless, the available techniques of the analysis and forecasting of expenses can serve as a starting point for development of own techniques of the analysis of transport expenses by transport enterprises. Model. In article methodical approaches to a future stsenarization which allowed to offer algorithm of carrying out scenario forecasting for transport enterprises are investigated. Conclusions. The conclusion that at competent use of scenarios in strategic planning and management, expenses of the enterprise repeatedly pay off as give big economic effect due to more effective use of the opening opportunities and opposition to external and internal threats is drawn. Practical value. The practical importance of article consists that conclusions and offers, are directed on strengthening of administrative function of the analysis and forecasting of expenses when rendering transportation services and promote real optimization of expenses of the studied enterprise. Originality. The developed teoretiko-methodical provisions and practical recommendations have direct applied sense for activity of the transport organizations. In spite of the fact that the scenario method is rather expensive and resource-intensive action, at competent use of scenarios in strategic planning and management of expense of the enterprise repeatedly pay off as give big economic effect due to more effective use of the opening opportunities and opposition to external and internal threats.
How to Cite:
Liudmila V.K., Zykina A.M., Karabasheva M.R., (2018), METHOD OF SCENARIO FORECASTING OF EXPENSES ON RENDERING TRANSPORT SERVICES. Economic Problems and Legal Practice, 2 => 65-70.
Reference list:
Kamppinen M. - Kamppinen M. Scenarios as cultural models of risk - our tools for navigating in the network of possible worlds // www.tukkk.fi.
Kan G.- Aligica P.D. The challenge of the future and the institutionalization of interdisciplinarity: notes on Herman Kahn s legacy // Futures. -2004.
Pocheptsov G.G. Strategicheskiy analiz: Strategicheskiy analiz dlya politiki, biznesa i voennogo dela. // G.G. Pocheptsov -Kiev: 2004. - 333 s.
Rubin A. - Rubin A. Scenario working in future studies // www.tukkk.fi.
Sitnov A.A. Strategicheskiy audit informatsionnykh sistem // Auditor. -2014. - № 11 (237). - S. 7 - 15.
Sitnov A.A. Audit informatsionnykh sistem // Auditorskie vedomosti. -2014. - № 3. - S. 83-91.
Sitnov A.A., Urintsov A.I. Audit informatsionnykh sistem: monografiya dlya magistrov. -M.: YUNITI-DANA, 2014. -239 s.
SHvarts P. - Scenario building: The Schwartz/GBN//www.infinite-futures.com.
Keywords:
the method of scenario planning, transport organization, strategic planning and management, the expenses of the company.


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